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- From: Brian Zeiler <bdzeiler@students.wisc.edu>
- Newsgroups: alt.alien.visitors,alt.paranet.ufo,alt.alien.research,alt.ufo.reports,alt.paranet.abduct,sci.skeptic,alt.paranet.science
- Subject: Re: Are all UFO debunkers rabid crackpots?
- Date: Wed, 19 Jun 1996 18:46:29 -0700
- Organization: University of Wisconsin
- Lines: 25
- Message-ID: <31C8AD75.7EDB@students.wisc.edu>
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-
- BILL F wrote:
-
- > The testimony of first-hand witnesses, contradictory statements from the
- > government, internal inconsistencies of behavior from the military, documents
- > referencing material too similar to that alledgedly recovered at Roswell, etc
- > poses too many problems for a cheap revamped weather balloon excuse.
- >
- > Can you REALLY reconcile all these problems without violating Occam's Razor?
-
- This is the interesting aspect, Occam's Razor. The UFO debunkers think
- they understand Occam's Razor, but in reality, they haven't a clue as to
- what the heuristic means. It really means that when several
- hypotheses can adequately explain a body of data, the simplest
- hypothesis which invokes the fewest implicit premises should be
- tested first before moving down the hierarchy of complexity. But the
- skeptopaths misapply Occam's Razor by butchering and mutilating the
- observations and dismissing the internal inconsistencies, only because
- they're hellbent on preserving the "mundane explanation" which they feel
- *MUST* be the right one. But Occam's Razor has never suggested altering
- the observed data and dismissing nonconforming evidence in order to
- preserve the hypothesis that invokes the smallest number of
- unsubstantiated premises.
-
- --
- Brian Zeiler
-